For Third Time, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Poll Most Accurately Predicts Result of the Dominican Republic´s Presidential Election


Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (GQR), a global opinion research consultancy based in Washington, DC, proved to be the most accurate firm to poll during the recent presidential campaign in the Dominican Republic – the third consecutive presidential election in the Dominican Republic in which the firm has held that distinction.

GQR conducted a series of national polls examining electoral trends in advance of the 2016 presidential election on behalf of Diario Libre, one of the largest daily newspapers in the Dominican Republic. During the last month of the campaign, several polling organizations released data on the race and the GQR-Diario Libre poll was only firm to accurately predicted the outcome of the election within the poll’s margin of error.

Adriano Tejada, Director of Diario Libre, said: “The accuracy of these results again mark the GQR-Diario Libre poll as the most prestigious public poll and strengthens the reputation of our newspaper and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner in the Dominican Republic.”

On Sunday, Danilo Medina became the first president of the Dominican Republic to be consecutively re-elected, winning 61.79 percent of the vote to Luis Abinader’s 34.96 percent, with 98.6 percent of colegios reporting. The final GQR-Diario Libre poll, which captured voters’ preferences in early May, predicted Medina would win the race with 60 percent of the vote to Abinader’s 37 percent, both well-within the poll’s 3.1 percent margin of error.

 “Accurate, reliable polling ahead of major elections is critical – for the voting public, for local leaders, and overall for the democratic process,” said Jessica Reis, a Vice President at Greenberg Quinlan Rosner who directed the poll. “Our knowledge of the DR and commitment to the highest-quality methodology has again made us the most accurate among international and domestic pollsters.”

Analysis of the polls commissioned by Diario Libre in advance of Sunday´s election can be found here. To view the article on the survey published by Diario Libre, please visit their website.