Lujan Grisham Posts Strong Lead in General Election


Results from a Survey of General Voters in NM CD-1 show Michelle Lujan Grisham leading 55-40. With less than a month to go, she is well-positioned to win.

Michelle Lujan Grisham

Less than a month from Election Day, Michelle Lujan Grisham has a solid lead over her opponent Janice Arnold-Jones.  In a survey of 407 general election voters conducted October 8-9[1], she leads Arnold-Jones by 15 points with just 5 percent undecided, a 7 point net increase since July[2]. She is well positioned to win in November. 

Importantly, when the electorate gets to know both candidates better, Lujan Grisham’s lead expands.  In July, 69 percent of the voters could identify Lujan Grisham and gave her a 4 point net positive rating; now 75 percent know her and give her a 13 point net positive rating.  In contrast, Arnold Jones has seen her name identification expand from 37 to 59 percent, but she only breaks even on favorability.

grishamgraph

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[1] Conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research October 8-9, 2012  among 407 likely voters, subject to a margin of error of +/- 5 percentage points.

[2] July poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, July 10-15, 2012 among 502 likely voters, subject to a margin of error of +/- 4