Michelle Lujan Grisham Surging in New Mexico’s 1st Congressional District Democratic Primary


Michelle Lujan Grisham

Just two weeks from Election Day, Bernalillo County Commissioner Michelle Lujan Grisham has seized the momentum and is now tied for the lead in the Democratic primary contest in New Mexico’s First Congressional District.  As voters have been introduced to Lujan Grisham, she has moved from third to first in the vote.

A survey of likely Democratic primary shows that the Democratic primary contest is now a two-way race.  Lujan Grisham garners 35 percent of the vote, surging 11 points from February polling.  State Senator Eric Griego also receives 35 percent support.  Support for former Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez, the clear frontrunner earlier this year, has eroded significantly, from 37 percent in February to 23 percent now.  Seven percent remain undecided.

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Methodology

The May survey was conducted by live telephone interviews among 402 registered and likely Democratic primary voters in New Mexico’s 1st Congressional District. The data are subject to a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percentage points at a 95 percent confidence level. The February survey was conducted by live telephone interviews among 502 registered and likely Democratic primary voters in New Mexico’s 1st Congressional District. The data are subject to a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent confidence level.

Memo (pdf)