Libby Mitchell Emerges as the Frontrunner in Maine’s Democratic Primary for Governor


Source: Anna Greenberg and Melissa Egelsky

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Executive Summary

The Libby Mitchell Campaign for Governor announced poll numbers yesterday from research conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner. The results show Mitchell leading the Democratic field in Maine by 20 points over her closest competitor. The poll confirms similar trends seen in independent polling from Kiley and Company in July and from the national political Web site the Daily Kos in September.

Key Findings

  • Mitchell leads the race for the gubernatorial nomination with 36 percent of the vote. Steve Rowe receives 16 percent and Pat McGowan receives 13 percent, with John Richardson and Rosa Scarcelli garnering 5 and 4 percent support, respectively.
  • Mitchell receives a 59 percent excellent or good performance rating as State Senate President and a 34-point net positive rating (44 percent favorable, 10 percent unfavorable). Her name identification stands at 68 percent, putting her well above the rest of the Democratic field in both identification and standing.
  • Last July the Maine-based Kiley and Company conducted an independent poll of 301 Democratic primary voters. Libby Mitchell received 37 percent, Steve Rowe received 20 percent, Pat McGowan received 10 percent, and Dawn Hill received 3 percent. A second national poll from the political Web site the Daily Kos also showed Mitchell leading the primary field in September.

Methodology

These results are based on a survey prepared and supervised by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, Inc. Calling took place April 11-14, 2010. These findings, based on a sample size of 587 registered and likely June 2010 Democratic primary voters, are subject to a sampling error of ±4.0 percentage points.